Oil Rally Takes Breather With Israel to Pull Some Gaza Troops
(Bloomberg) -- Oil declined from a five-month high after Israel said it would remove some troops from Gaza, as traders wait for a series of market reports this week that will provide a snapshot on supply and demand.
Brent futures tumbled by as much as 2.6% before clawing back some losses to trade below $90 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate was under $86. Oil has rallied recently on escalating geopolitical tensions and supply shocks, raising the prospect of the global benchmark reaching triple figures.
Israel said on Sunday that the country is pulling some troops from southern Gaza, with the forces recuperating and preparing for future operations, including an offensive on Rafah. Iran is also preparing a response to a suspected Israeli attack on its consulate in Syria, which could escalate regional tensions.
![](https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iD2lastkygyo/v2/-1x-1.png)
“The concession of moving troops out of Gaza is nowhere near cause to discount ongoing threats of more direct conflicts involving Iran,” said Vishnu Varathan, Asia head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd. in Singapore. “Oil’s upside volatility remains very much present, and that’s to a large part thanks to geopolitics amplifying supply shortfalls elsewhere.”
Crude posted a fourth weekly gain on Friday, the best run since August, but the rapid rally higher has presented some technical resistance. Brent surged into overbought territory on the 14-day relative strength index, adding short term headwinds to the global benchmark.
The broader outlook remains bullish, with a slew of indicators pointing to an upward trend for prices. Timespreads are strong, volatility has recovered, and funds are going long on crude. Bullish oil call options — which profit when prices gain — are still trading at a premium to oppositely bearish puts.
Looking ahead, the US Energy Information Administration is scheduled to release its Short-Term Energy Outlook on Tuesday. That will be followed by reports from OPEC and the International Energy Agency later in the week.
The raft of data and commentary will aid in shaping the outlook for global oil balances. OPEC+ cuts are coinciding with supply outages from producers like Mexico and ongoing disruptions in the Red Sea due to Houthi attacks on shipping. Russian and Venezuelan flows are also in focus as the US steps up enforcement of sanctions.
©2024 Bloomberg L.P.
KEEPING THE ENERGY INDUSTRY CONNECTED
Subscribe to our newsletter and get the best of Energy Connects directly to your inbox each week.
By subscribing, you agree to the processing of your personal data by dmg events as described in the Privacy Policy.
More oil news
![Energy Connect Story Thumbnail](/images/default/oilandgasgeneric.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&format=webp)
Woodside Looks to Build ‘Dream Team of LNG’ at Acquired US Plant
![Eni](/media/zrnnqrv2/eni.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132771144027800000&format=webp)
Eni signed exclusivity agreement with KKR for the potential sale of a minority stake in Enilive
![Woodside](/media/tq5juvf3/woodside.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132834340121370000&format=webp)
Woodside's quarterly revenues exceed $3 billion backed by strategic milestones
![BloomburgMedia_SGUY72T0AFB400_22-07-2024_06-22-21_638572032000000000.jpg](/media/cfwjsnpi/bloomburgmedia_sguy72t0afb400_22-07-2024_06-22-21_638572032000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661029417000000&format=webp)
Oil Rises as Biden Quits US Race, Blazes Threaten Canadian Wells
![BloomburgMedia_SGZSI8T1UM0W00_22-07-2024_07-32-52_638572032000000000.jpg](/media/yq5nxplm/bloomburgmedia_sgzsi8t1um0w00_22-07-2024_07-32-52_638572032000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661071728370000&format=webp)
Kamala Harris Seen as Tougher Oil Industry Opponent Than Biden
![Oil And Gas Refinery Plant](/media/czhapv55/oil-and-gas-refinery-plant.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132900920345270000&format=webp)
PetroChina joins Oil and Gas Decarbonisation Charter
![GALP](/media/1dpp15bu/galp.png?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661151184570000&format=webp)
Galp reports 16% rise in Q2 2024 net profit amid higher oil prices and lower production costs
![BloomburgMedia_SGXF3CT0AFB400_21-07-2024_06-00-10_638571168000000000.jpg](/media/pp5dhnc3/bloomburgmedia_sgxf3ct0afb400_21-07-2024_06-00-10_638571168000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133660152100830000&format=webp)
Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Targets Output of 550,000 Barrels a Day
![BloomburgMedia_SGUD23DWLU6800_22-07-2024_07-49-38_638572032000000000.jpg](/media/ey5kep5x/bloomburgmedia_sgud23dwlu6800_22-07-2024_07-49-38_638572032000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661081780600000&format=webp)
Oil Falls With Broader Commodity Weakness Amidst Listless Trade
![BloomburgMedia_SGVJS1T0G1KW00_19-07-2024_20-00-09_638569440000000000.jpg](/media/5yomaqhj/bloomburgmedia_sgvjs1t0g1kw00_19-07-2024_20-00-09_638569440000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133658928099030000&format=webp)
Occidental Planning to Sell Bonds in Up to Five Parts
![CSIS Thumbnail](/media/o0acqjyg/csis_thumbnail.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133566075809700000&format=webp)
CSIS: long-term LNG demand to reshape global export capacity growth
![Dr Carole Nakhle Thumbnail](/media/gqrpjths/dr-carole-nakhle_thumbnail.png?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133542056370600000&format=webp)
More women in energy vital to the industry’s success
![Vandana Hari Thumbnail](/media/gz3dyktl/vandana-hari-thumbnail.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133511540022930000&format=webp)
India’s energy sector presents lucrative opportunities for global companies
![OIL INDIA Thumbnail (1)](/media/oddlww2x/oil-india-thumbnail-1.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133506537128730000&format=webp)
Oil India charts the course to ambitious energy growth
![DNV Thumbnail](/media/chkphnjn/dnv-thumbnail.png?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133491856590700000&format=webp)
Maritime sector is stepping up to the challenges of decarbonisation
Partner content
![Navigating the trading seas: exploring the significance of benchmarks-1859882229](/media/qlacaiww/navigating-the-trading-seas-exploring-the-significance-of-benchmarks-1859882229.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133613577584600000&format=webp)
Navigating the trading seas: exploring the significance of benchmarks
![New Lng Ship Web 17829](/media/vjrjyypa/new-lng-ship-web-17829.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133179936218300000&format=webp)
Back to the Future(s): the best commodities benchmarks are still physically settled
![Dr Klaus](/media/4eyh2dr0/dr-klaus.jpg?center=0.3953747239980292,0.50683017007953435&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133517897092430000&format=webp)
Ebara Elliott Energy offers a range of products for a sustainable energy economy
![ESSAR](/media/5uafghtj/essar.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133524466961070000&format=webp)
Essar outlines how its CBM contribution is bolstering for India’s energy landscape
![HNC 7611 V2](/media/0dqbya15/hnc_7611_v2.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133517899616530000&format=webp)