Oil Extends Gains After Middle East Tensions Push Brent Over $90
(Bloomberg) -- Oil extended advances on escalating tensions in the Middle East after blowing past the $90-a-barrel threshold in the previous session.
Global benchmark Brent rose to above $91, near its highest since October, while West Texas Intermediate was at around $87. Israel has increased preparations for potential retaliation by Tehran after Monday’s strike on an Iranian diplomatic compound in Syria, stoking fears of a wider regional conflict.
![](https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iJt0Bl3DKeBg/v2/-1x-1.png)
Crude has surged by 18% this year amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, as well as OPEC+’s supply restrictions and healthy demand. The conflict between Israel and Hamas had led to Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea, pushing up transport costs, but has so far not escalated into a wider war in a region that accounts for around a third of the world’s oil supply.
Cease-fire talks between Israel and Hamas — which could see the release of hostages held in Gaza — remain deadlocked. Israel’s economy minister said he doesn’t trust Qatar to act as a mediator with Hamas, designated a terrorist organization by the US and Europe.
“The wider Mideast tensions stemming from the Gaza war are probably at the highest in months,” said Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights in Singapore. “Crude is reflecting that Mideast conflagration fear premium.”
Earlier this week, OPEC+ chose to stick with supply cuts for the first half of the year, keeping global markets tight and buttressing the case for higher prices. A panel of key members led by Saudi Arabia recommended no policy changes at an online review meeting. That means roughly 2 million barrels a day of output curbs will remain in place.
Market watchers have become more bullish in recent weeks. JPMorgan Chase & Co. has warned that Brent has the potential to rally to $100 a barrel this year if Russia’s recent decision to cut production wasn’t balanced out by other counter-measures. ANZ Banking Group Ltd., meanwhile, raised its three-month outlook to $95.
Some oil gauges are signaling further advances. Timespreads are strengthening, while call options — which profit when oil prices rise — are trading at a premium over the opposite put options. Money managers have also been increasing their net-long positions.
©2024 Bloomberg L.P.
KEEPING THE ENERGY INDUSTRY CONNECTED
Subscribe to our newsletter and get the best of Energy Connects directly to your inbox each week.
By subscribing, you agree to the processing of your personal data by dmg events as described in the Privacy Policy.
More oil news
![Eni](/media/zrnnqrv2/eni.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132771144027800000&format=webp)
Eni signed exclusivity agreement with KKR for the potential sale of a minority stake in Enilive
![Woodside](/media/tq5juvf3/woodside.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132834340121370000&format=webp)
Woodside's quarterly revenues exceed $3 billion backed by strategic milestones
![BloomburgMedia_SGUY72T0AFB400_22-07-2024_06-22-21_638572032000000000.jpg](/media/cfwjsnpi/bloomburgmedia_sguy72t0afb400_22-07-2024_06-22-21_638572032000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661029417000000&format=webp)
Oil Rises as Biden Quits US Race, Blazes Threaten Canadian Wells
![BloomburgMedia_SGZSI8T1UM0W00_22-07-2024_07-32-52_638572032000000000.jpg](/media/yq5nxplm/bloomburgmedia_sgzsi8t1um0w00_22-07-2024_07-32-52_638572032000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661071728370000&format=webp)
Kamala Harris Seen as Tougher Oil Industry Opponent Than Biden
![Oil And Gas Refinery Plant](/media/czhapv55/oil-and-gas-refinery-plant.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132900920345270000&format=webp)
PetroChina joins Oil and Gas Decarbonisation Charter
![GALP](/media/1dpp15bu/galp.png?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661151184570000&format=webp)
Galp reports 16% rise in Q2 2024 net profit amid higher oil prices and lower production costs
![BloomburgMedia_SGXF3CT0AFB400_21-07-2024_06-00-10_638571168000000000.jpg](/media/pp5dhnc3/bloomburgmedia_sgxf3ct0afb400_21-07-2024_06-00-10_638571168000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133660152100830000&format=webp)
Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Targets Output of 550,000 Barrels a Day
![BloomburgMedia_SGUD23DWLU6800_22-07-2024_07-49-38_638572032000000000.jpg](/media/ey5kep5x/bloomburgmedia_sgud23dwlu6800_22-07-2024_07-49-38_638572032000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133661081780600000&format=webp)
Oil Falls With Broader Commodity Weakness Amidst Listless Trade
![BloomburgMedia_SGVJS1T0G1KW00_19-07-2024_20-00-09_638569440000000000.jpg](/media/5yomaqhj/bloomburgmedia_sgvjs1t0g1kw00_19-07-2024_20-00-09_638569440000000000.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=133658928099030000&format=webp)
Occidental Planning to Sell Bonds in Up to Five Parts
![Oil Well (1)](/media/oxebekv0/oil-well.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=240&height=135&rnd=132762511620370000&format=webp)
Bolivia’s YPFB to invest $400 million in new hydrocarbon exploration and development
![CSIS Thumbnail](/media/o0acqjyg/csis_thumbnail.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133566075809700000&format=webp)
CSIS: long-term LNG demand to reshape global export capacity growth
![Dr Carole Nakhle Thumbnail](/media/gqrpjths/dr-carole-nakhle_thumbnail.png?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133542056370600000&format=webp)
More women in energy vital to the industry’s success
![Vandana Hari Thumbnail](/media/gz3dyktl/vandana-hari-thumbnail.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133511540022930000&format=webp)
India’s energy sector presents lucrative opportunities for global companies
![OIL INDIA Thumbnail (1)](/media/oddlww2x/oil-india-thumbnail-1.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133506537128730000&format=webp)
Oil India charts the course to ambitious energy growth
![DNV Thumbnail](/media/chkphnjn/dnv-thumbnail.png?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133491856590700000&format=webp)
Maritime sector is stepping up to the challenges of decarbonisation
Partner content
![Navigating the trading seas: exploring the significance of benchmarks-1859882229](/media/qlacaiww/navigating-the-trading-seas-exploring-the-significance-of-benchmarks-1859882229.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133613577584600000&format=webp)
Navigating the trading seas: exploring the significance of benchmarks
![New Lng Ship Web 17829](/media/vjrjyypa/new-lng-ship-web-17829.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133179936218300000&format=webp)
Back to the Future(s): the best commodities benchmarks are still physically settled
![Dr Klaus](/media/4eyh2dr0/dr-klaus.jpg?center=0.3953747239980292,0.50683017007953435&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133517897092430000&format=webp)
Ebara Elliott Energy offers a range of products for a sustainable energy economy
![ESSAR](/media/5uafghtj/essar.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133524466961070000&format=webp)
Essar outlines how its CBM contribution is bolstering for India’s energy landscape
![HNC 7611 V2](/media/0dqbya15/hnc_7611_v2.jpg?anchor=center&mode=crop&width=540&height=300&rnd=133517899616530000&format=webp)