Bonds, Stocks Drop as Global Growth Fears Deepen: Markets Wrap

Sep 23, 2022 by Bloomberg
image is BloomburgMedia_RIMS0GT0G1KW01_23-09-2022_12-00-15_637994880000000000.jpg

Pedestrians wait at an intersection in Tokyo, Japan, on Saturday, Sept. 16, 2022. Japan is scheduled to release consumer price index on Sept. 20. Photographer: James Whitlow Delano/Bloomberg

Global bond yields surged and stocks extended declines at the end of a week that underscored expectations for tighter monetary policy and a slowing economy.

A dollar gauge rose to yet another record and 10-year Treasury yields to the highest in more than a decade, while UK bonds plunged and the pound fell as markets priced in a more aggressive pace of tightening to offset the government’s growth plan.

US equity futures dropped at least 1% as Europe’s Stoxx 600 Index tumbled to the lowest since December 2020 and was poised to enter a bear market. Mining and energy shares led declines as gold and oil prices fell, while Credit Suisse Group AG tumbled to a record after denying a report that it’s considering exiting the US. 

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. slashed its year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 3,600 from 4,300, citing a higher interest-rate path from the Federal Reserve, and strategists gave up on a year-end rally for European stocks as private-sector activity in the region continued to contract. 

UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng set out the most radical package of tax cuts for the UK since 1972, reducing levies both on worker pay and companies in an effort to boost the long term potential of the economy. Kwarteng also cut stamp duty on property purchases, removed a cap on banker bonuses, and confirmed support for households and businesses from spiraling energy bills at a cost of £60 billion ($67 billion) over the next six months.Source: Bloomberg

Traders ramped up their wagers on Bank of England rate hikes, betting on a 50% chance of a 100-basis-point increase from the central bank at its next rate decision in November, as the government set out its most radical package of tax cuts since 1972 and the Debt Management Office increased its gilt sales plan more than expected.

“The markets will do what they will,” said Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng, when challenged in parliament on the mayhem in markets. 

The European Central Bank will also forge ahead with increases in borrowing costs, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks, even as recession risks rise across the continent.

  

While the dollar continued its relentless advance amid forecasts for a further 1.25 percentage points of tightening before year-end, a surprise cut by Turkey’s central bank sent the lira to a fresh all-time low and its longest weekly losing streak in 23 years. 

Meanwhile, the yen fell as traders braced for more action after Japan intervened to prop up the ailing currency for the first time since 1998. 

Investors are flocking to cash and shunning almost every other asset class as they turn the most pessimistic since the global financial crisis, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists. 

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Here are some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 2.3% as of 11:45 a.m. London time
  • Futures on the S&P 500 fell 1.2%
  • Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 1.3%
  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.1%
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.5%
  • The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 1%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.7%
  • The euro fell 0.7% to $0.9769
  • The Japanese yen fell 0.4% to 142.92 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan fell 0.7% to 7.1293 per dollar
  • The British pound fell 1.7% to $1.1069

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced five basis points to 3.77%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield advanced eight basis points to 2.05%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 24 basis points to 3.73%

Commodities

  • Brent crude fell 2.3% to $88.35 a barrel
  • Spot gold fell 1.1% to $1,653.64 an ounce

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By Abigail Moses

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